SDSU is already a Top 10 team only 1 month into the season |
For years the Pac-10 conference and its darling team UCLA have dominated basketball in California. Since three Final Four appearances from 2006 to 2008, Ben Howland and the Bruins have fallen off the map, and with it went the reputation of the Pac-10 conference. If not for a Cinderella-like finish in the Pac-10 tournament from Washington, the Pac-10 conference would’ve most likely only had one NCAA Tournament bid last season. Three teams made the NCAA Tournament from the state of California last season: California, Saint Mary’s and San Diego State. As an 8 seed California knocked off Louisville in the first round, 10 seeded Saint Mary’s made an upset run to the Sweet 16 and 11 seeded San Diego State lost in the final seconds to Tennessee in the first round. Out of those three teams, only one of them has built off their tournament bid of 2010 and has themselves primed and ready for a deep run in the 2011 NCAA Tournament. That team is the San Diego State Aztecs.
The real question right now is “How good is San Diego State?” When it is so early in the season it is really hard to figure out how good a team is and how they stack up to other similar competition. Throughout the year we will feature a thing called “Blind Bubble Team Resumes” on the website. This is where you compare three or four teams using RPI, poll rankings, records, neutral site records, quality wins and bad losses. You do this without knowing the identity of the teams. From there, you pick which of the teams you would put in the NCAA Tournament, and which teams you would leave out. For right now however, we will compare three teams and try and determine which one is better.
Now that you have had time to look the teams over, try and guess which one is San Diego State. If you guessed Team B, then you guess correctly. With a 10-0 record and wins over teams like Gonzaga, Wichita State, California and Saint Mary’s, the San Diego State Aztecs have gotten off to a rather impressive start for the 2010-2011 college basketball season. With conference games against top teams like UNLV, Brigham Young and New Mexico, San Diego State will surely have a chance to improve their resume as March Madness nears.
The reason for the chart is to see who San Diego State compares to currently, so now try and guess who teams A and C are. Team A is pre-season Final Four favorite Kansas State, while Team C is pre-season Final Four favorite Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh is most likely a better team than San Diego State, but not by much. The only win that is more impressive than any of San Diego State’s is Pittsburgh 2 point victory over an unproven Texas team on November 19th.
Kansas State on the other hand has a much more similar resume to San Diego State than Pittsburgh does. Both the Wildcats and Aztecs played Gonzaga in the CBE, and both walked away with victories. While Kansas State did beat Gonzaga by more points, they did win on a neutral location. Neutral location victories are nice, however so is beating Gonzaga at their home arena in Spokane, Washington. That is exactly what San Diego State did on November 16th. With the win the Aztecs became only the fourth team to knock off Gonzaga in their home arena since it opened in 2004. Kansas State’s other key victories over an unproven Washington State and a struggling Virginia Tech team compare pretty evenly with San Diego State’s other victories outside of Gonzaga. In fact, California, Saint Mary’s and Wichita State all have better records then Virginia Tech. While they may be better then San Diego State, the Kansas State Wildcats are not too far ahead. Both Pittsburgh and Kansas State got beat down in their only losses. Pittsburgh played on a neutral site (virtually a home game however, as it was played in Pittsburgh) and needed a late run to lose respectably to Tennessee, while Kansas State got absolutely trashed by Duke in the CBE Classic. Even with a 9-1 record, Kansas State has some puzzling single digit wins against Presbyterian and Loyola-Illinois. Meanwhile San Diego State has won all of their games by an average of 15 points.
So you get the picture, if you were to group San Diego State with other teams in college basketball right now, you would place them with the likes of the Kansas State’s and maybe the Pittsburgh’s of the college basketball world. If 99.9% of the people who watch, coach and play college basketball believe those teams are good, then that basically answers the pending question. San Diego State is a pretty damn good basketball team. Now that it can be determined how good, at this point in the season, San Diego State is, the next question is “Why are they good?” This question is much simpler to answer. They are good for two reasons: balance and experience.
The rest of the story is after the jump